Thursday, January 31, 2013

How the GDP's Big Shrink Might Impact a Budget Deal

U.S. gross domestic product fell by 0.1 percent in 2012's fourth quarter, according to advance estimates released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis this morning.?Economic analysts are chalking up the losses to reduced government spending?especially on defense, which saw a 22.2 percent decrease in government consumption expenditures. Conservatives are predictably upset at the lackluster report, blaming President Obama's economic policies for the lack of growth. How could they pass up this opportunity, seeing how it's the first time the country's economy shrunk?since Q1 in 2009? But liberals are saying that?deficit-hawk austerity is to blame for GDP decline. Will evidence that downsized federal budgets shrink GDP change how lawmakers approach the budget fight?

RELATED: No One Sees 1.8% GDP Growth As a Good Thing

This all makes the spectre of sequestration?the fiscal cliff holdover cuts scheduled to take effect in March unless lawmakers reach a deal to avert them?loom larger in Washington. The?Chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers?Alan Krueger even argued today on the White House blog that federal defense spending cuts were "likely due to?uncertainty stemming from the sequester."?If a 22 percent cut in military spending (a product of American wars winding down in the Middle East) can hurt GDP this much, god forbid what these across-the-board cuts to the tune of $1.2 trillion will do to the economy. The Bipartisan Policy Center's Steve Bell writes:?

The ?fiscal cliff? now gives way to ?sequester anxiety.? These across-the-board cuts in Fiscal Year (FY) 2013 spending loom as the next fiscal hurdle for policymakers ... For an economy that already suffers from chronic unemployment and very slow expansion, the sequester could push the nation into sub-2 percent GDP growth for 2013 and perhaps 2014.

Even with such doom and gloom on the horizon, Republican House Budget Chair Paul Ryan?predicted?over the weekend that sequestration will go through. Ryan said on NBC's?Meet the Press, "We think these sequesters will happen because the Democrats have opposed our efforts to replace those cuts with others and they?ve offered no alternatives." Earlier this month,?Sen. Chuck Schumer took to the same Sunday talk show earlier this month to reassure the public that Democrats will pass a budget deal that averts sequestration. He told David Gregory, "We're going to do a budget this year, and it's going to have revenues in it, and our Republican colleagues better get used to that fact." History has shown time and time again that congressmen don't necessarily care about what economists say.?

RELATED: No News Is Good News for the European Economy

?

Source: http://news.yahoo.com/gdps-big-shrink-might-impact-budget-deal-163810389--finance.html

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Dear Prudence: Marijuana Mentor

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Syrian state news agency says Israeli warplanes bombed military site near Damascus

I love ISRAEL for this say-it-and-do-it ACTION, now we are waiting on Iran to hit back on Israel, as they recently said any strike on Syria means a strike on Iran, and will be retaliated.

Now it starts, am waiting on Iran to prove themselves, not just being mouthy. So it goes this way -

A strike on Syria means a strike on Iran, and will be retaliated by Iran.
A strike on Iran means a strike on North Korea, and will be retaliated by N. Korea.
A strike on N. Korea means a strike on China, and will be retaliated by China.
A strike on Israel means a strike on Canada/USA, and will be retaliated by USA/Canada.
A strike on USA or Canada means a strike on NATO/EU, and will be retaliated by NATO.

ETC ETC ...... A long movie ... actors and directors needed.

Source: http://news.yahoo.com/syrian-state-news-agency-says-israeli-warplanes-bombed-190748965.html

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Top Senate Democrat sets up fight over looming budget cuts

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The top Senate Democrat said on Tuesday that he wants increased tax revenues to help replace the automatic spending cuts looming on March 1, a demand that could reignite partisan budget tensions.

Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid said Democrats are working on alternatives to the $85 billion in delayed, across-the-board spending cuts, known as the sequester. They will seek to end some tax credits and close loopholes - possibly some for oil companies - to find revenues to help replace the cuts, he said.

"There's a lot of things we can do out there, and we're going to make an effort to make sure that sequestration involves revenue," Reid told reporters in the Capitol.

He said there was "low hanging fruit" among deductions and credits in the tax code that Republican have agreed should be cut.

The sequester is a holdover from a 2011 budget deal that lifted the debt limit and set in place $1.2 trillion of across-the-board spending cuts. These were meant to be so painful that Congress would have no choice but to replace them with other budget savings, but bitterly divided lawmakers could never agree on a plan.

Even after the New Year's fiscal cliff deal raised tax rates on couples earning over $450,000 a year, Reid said Americans still want the wealthy to pay more in taxes and do not want the Medicare health program for the elderly "whacked."

"Part of it is the wealthiest people in America paying a little bit more. It should be a balance of spending cuts and revenue," he said, adding that Democrats would discuss their plans at a retreat next week.

Reid's call for revenue associated with the sequestration cuts is part of a growing chorus of Democrats demanding that the wealthy pay more in taxes to reduce deficits without resorting to big cuts to health care benefits and other social safety net programs.

Senate Budget Committee Chairman Patty Murray last week told Senate Democrats that she would include new revenue sources in a fiscal 2014 budget resolution that she expects will win Senate approval this year.

WE GAVE AT THE CLIFF

Republicans have argued that they have already made their one concession on tax revenue in the fiscal cliff deal, which avoided big tax increases on the middle class. They want further budget savings to come solely from spending cuts, especially for expensive benefit programs such as Medicare, Medicaid and Social Security.

The fiscal cliff deal also delayed the launch of the automatic sequester cuts until March 1, reducing them to about $85 billion for the remainder of fiscal 2013.

Failure to find replacement savings by the March 1 deadline is not expected to spark a financial crisis because the cuts, split evenly between military and domestic programs, would start to bite gradually.

But they are already having some effects. The Pentagon announced last week that it had begun laying off most of its 46,000 temporary and term employees and was cutting maintenance on ships and aircraft to slow spending.

Many in Washington seem resigned to their launch.

Paul Ryan, the influential House Budget Committee chairman and the 2012 Republican vice presidential candidate, said on Sunday that he thinks "sequester is going to happen."

He blamed Senate Democratic opposition to legislation passed by House Republicans to replace the automatic cuts with deep cuts to programs that aid the poor while sparing military spending.

Democrats counter that the problem is Republican resistance to additional tax revenue.

"I think that if we are going to have any substitute for sequester, it is going to have to include revenue, so that may explain why Mr. Ryan and others are saying it's inevitable to go to sequester," Democratic Senator Richard Durbin of Illinois said.

A senior Democratic aide on Tuesday also predicted that the automatic spending cuts would occur. "It is unlikely we do anything to prevent the sequestration before it kicks in," said the aide, who asked not to be identified.

The aide added that it was unclear how long they would remain in effect. That would depend on whether lawmakers use upcoming budget and appropriations battles to try to cancel the cuts or substitute something else for them. The aide added that the White House will soon begin laying out in great detail the effects of the automatic spending cuts.

Budget tensions recently eased a bit after House Republicans opted against waging another immediate battle over raising the $16.4 trillion U.S. debt limit.

Rather than using the borrowing cap as a lever to demand deep spending cuts, they have approved an extension in U.S. borrowing authority until May 19. The Senate is expected to pass the measure this week.

The reprieve was aimed at pressing the Senate to pass a budget this year and fostering a debate over a return to a more sustainable fiscal path without risking a default crisis.

(Additional reporting by Rachelle Younglai and Kim Dixon; Editing by Stacey Joyce)

Source: http://news.yahoo.com/top-senate-democrat-sets-fight-over-looming-budget-221150778.html

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Lymphoma Cancer: A Cancer Fighter

Lymphoma Cancer: A Cancer Fighter
http://lymphomacancer1.blogspot.com/2013/01/a-cancer-fighter.html

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Police: Pa. man stopped for beer after breakout

(AP) ? Police say a western Pennsylvania man stopped at a bar and had a beer minutes after he broke out of a police station holding cell after his arrest on an assault charge.

The Washington County public defender's office on Wednesday declined to comment on the charges filed against 40-year-old Smith Township resident Timothy Bonner.

Police say they were processing Bonner and had removed his handcuffs and placed him in the cell. That's when Bonner allegedly knocked the cell door off its hinges and ran away.

After stopping at a house to borrow shoes, police say Smith went to Richy's Bar, where a customer tells WPXI-TV (http://bit.ly/T6R6zl ) the suspect acknowledged breaking out of jail and then asked for a beer.

The customer says he bought a beer for Smith, who didn't get to enjoy it before police arrested him.

___

Information from: WPXI-TV, http://www.wpxi.com

Source: http://hosted2.ap.org/APDEFAULT/aa9398e6757a46fa93ed5dea7bd3729e/Article_2013-01-30-Beer%20After%20Breakout/id-417c5853099040909e348ed0837ec552

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Study reveals significance of second trimester markers for Down's syndrome

Study reveals significance of second trimester markers for Down's syndrome [ Back to EurekAlert! ] Public release date: 30-Jan-2013
[ | E-mail | Share Share ]

Contact: Amy Molnar
sciencenewsroom@wiley.com
Wiley

A new analysis has found that some second trimester markers for Down's syndrome that are detected by ultrasound are more telling than others. Published early online in Ultrasound in Obstetrics & Gynecology, the study's results will help adjust pregnant women's risks for having a child with the condition.

Screening for Down's syndrome is offered to all pregnant women, who start out with a background risk based on their age. Certain features detected during a second trimester ultrasound exam are potential markers for Down's syndrome, and they include dilated brain ventricles, absent or small nose bone, increased thickness of the back of the neck, an abnormal artery to the upper extremities, bright spots in the heart, 'bright' bowels, mild kidney swelling, and shortening of an arm bone or thigh bone.

To determine how these markers affect risk, Kypros Nicolaides, MD, of the Harris Birthright Research Centre for Fetal Medicine at King's College London in England, and his colleagues analyzed all published studies that reported results on second trimester markers for Down's syndrome between 1995 and 2012.

The researchers identified 48 studies, and they discovered that most single markers have only a small effect on modifying the odds for Down's syndrome. This finding could have important clinical implications because currently in the United States, when a marker such as a short arm or thigh bone is detected, women are told that they are at high risk of having a child with Down's syndrome. Dr. Nicolaides and his team found that a few markers do carry increased risks, though. Dilated brain ventricles, increased thickness of the back of the neck, and an abnormal artery to the upper extremities increase the risk by three- to four-fold, and an absent or small nose bone increases the risk by six- to seven-fold.

"The detection of any one of the findings during the scan should prompt the sonographer to look for all other markers or abnormalities," said Prof. Nicolaides. He added that the study also revealed that if a detailed second trimester ultrasound exam demonstrates the absence of all major markers, the risk of having a baby affected by Down's syndrome is reduced by more than seven-fold.

The findings indicate that the relative importance of ultrasound markers is very different from what has been previously assumed. Prof. Nicolaides noted that the results from this study will be incorporated in obstetric ultrasound scan software that adjusts women's risks for having a child with Down's syndrome.

###

URL: http://doi.wiley.com/10.1002/uog.12364


[ Back to EurekAlert! ] [ | E-mail | Share Share ]

?


AAAS and EurekAlert! are not responsible for the accuracy of news releases posted to EurekAlert! by contributing institutions or for the use of any information through the EurekAlert! system.


Study reveals significance of second trimester markers for Down's syndrome [ Back to EurekAlert! ] Public release date: 30-Jan-2013
[ | E-mail | Share Share ]

Contact: Amy Molnar
sciencenewsroom@wiley.com
Wiley

A new analysis has found that some second trimester markers for Down's syndrome that are detected by ultrasound are more telling than others. Published early online in Ultrasound in Obstetrics & Gynecology, the study's results will help adjust pregnant women's risks for having a child with the condition.

Screening for Down's syndrome is offered to all pregnant women, who start out with a background risk based on their age. Certain features detected during a second trimester ultrasound exam are potential markers for Down's syndrome, and they include dilated brain ventricles, absent or small nose bone, increased thickness of the back of the neck, an abnormal artery to the upper extremities, bright spots in the heart, 'bright' bowels, mild kidney swelling, and shortening of an arm bone or thigh bone.

To determine how these markers affect risk, Kypros Nicolaides, MD, of the Harris Birthright Research Centre for Fetal Medicine at King's College London in England, and his colleagues analyzed all published studies that reported results on second trimester markers for Down's syndrome between 1995 and 2012.

The researchers identified 48 studies, and they discovered that most single markers have only a small effect on modifying the odds for Down's syndrome. This finding could have important clinical implications because currently in the United States, when a marker such as a short arm or thigh bone is detected, women are told that they are at high risk of having a child with Down's syndrome. Dr. Nicolaides and his team found that a few markers do carry increased risks, though. Dilated brain ventricles, increased thickness of the back of the neck, and an abnormal artery to the upper extremities increase the risk by three- to four-fold, and an absent or small nose bone increases the risk by six- to seven-fold.

"The detection of any one of the findings during the scan should prompt the sonographer to look for all other markers or abnormalities," said Prof. Nicolaides. He added that the study also revealed that if a detailed second trimester ultrasound exam demonstrates the absence of all major markers, the risk of having a baby affected by Down's syndrome is reduced by more than seven-fold.

The findings indicate that the relative importance of ultrasound markers is very different from what has been previously assumed. Prof. Nicolaides noted that the results from this study will be incorporated in obstetric ultrasound scan software that adjusts women's risks for having a child with Down's syndrome.

###

URL: http://doi.wiley.com/10.1002/uog.12364


[ Back to EurekAlert! ] [ | E-mail | Share Share ]

?


AAAS and EurekAlert! are not responsible for the accuracy of news releases posted to EurekAlert! by contributing institutions or for the use of any information through the EurekAlert! system.


Source: http://www.eurekalert.org/pub_releases/2013-01/w-srs013013.php

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Where Are The Military Keynesians? (talking-points-memo)

Share With Friends: Share on FacebookTweet ThisPost to Google-BuzzSend on GmailPost to Linked-InSubscribe to This Feed | Rss To Twitter | Politics - Top Stories News, RSS Feeds and Widgets via Feedzilla.

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Wednesday, January 30, 2013

Long snappers: Looking at football upside down

NEW ORLEANS (AP) ? They look at the world upside down between their legs.

The only time they get noticed is when they mess up.

Such is life for a long snapper.

In Sunday's Super Bowl, Brian Jennings of the San Francisco 49ers and Morgan Cox of the Baltimore Ravens will be snapping for punts, field goals and extra points.

They have the same goal: Don't do anything that draws a lick of attention.

"That's part of a long snapper's personality," Cox said. "We just want to stay in the background."

It may seem like a simple skill ? hiking the ball between your legs ? but it takes years of practice to be able to perform it with the consistency, accuracy and velocity required in the NFL.

They know one slight miscue could cost the game.

"You've got guys who've been out there banging their heads for 3? hours," Jennings said. "You don't want to go out there and screw it up."

While snappers, like kickers and punters, are viewed as something of outcasts compared to the rest of the roster, there's a growing appreciation for what they do. Camps have sprung up around the country dedicated solely to the art of hiking the ball ? 7 or 8 yards to a holder for field goals and PATs, 14 or 15 yards to a punter.

A player who has no chance of making it to the NFL based on arm strength or his 40 time can now carve out a niche on special teams.

Don't chuckle. Jennings has managed to stay in the league for 13 years ? all with San Francisco ? doing nothing but snapping the ball. Cox is finishing up his third year with the Ravens and he, too, hopes for a long career looking at the world from a different perspective.

"I snap the ball accurately for a living," the 36-year-old Jennings said. "I think that's awesome."

If there's a drawback, it's catching grief from their teammates about the massive amounts of time they spend standing around on the sideline. But that's all in good fun. Everyone knows the snapper has a vital role to play.

"Whenever somebody puts his hand on the football, his job is very, very important," 49ers safety Donte Whitner said. "One snap over the kicker's head, one snap that's wide right or a little low, can be the difference in a football game. People don't really notice you unless you do something bad at that position."

Jennings was a tight end in college at Arizona State, but he got into snapping while recovering from an injury. Bored and just goofing around one day at practice, he hiked a few balls. Turns out, he had a knack for it, delivering the ball with surprising speed.

"A couple of my teammates said, 'Hey, you're pretty good at that. Why don't you do that?'" he recalled. "So I started practicing snapping so I could help my team."

He did it so well that he was picked in the seventh round of the 2000 draft by the 49ers.

He's been in San Francisco ever since.

For Cox, snapping began when he was a fifth-grader playing youth football.

One day at practice, the coach asked if there were any volunteers for the thankless position. Cox raised his hand. His first attempt wasn't so good but his dad, who happened to be watching, encouraged young Morgan to give it another try. His do-over was much better, and he had a new position on the team in addition to being the center.

By high school, Cox realized that snapping might be his path to playing at a major college. He went to special teams camp organized by Tennessee, impressed the coaches with his skills and wound up being recruited by the Volunteers. But they weren't about to give a scholarship to someone just for snapping, so he had to walk on. He was the No. 1 long snapper for three years, but didn't receive a scholarship until his senior season.

No hard feelings.

It helped him get to the biggest game of his life.

"I can't say enough how blessed I feel to be here, to be somebody that gets to contribute to a potential Super Bowl win," Cox said.

His 49ers counterpart has already started giving back to the next generation of snappers with a program known as "Jennings 1-4-1," which runs camps and develops training aids for kids who are trying to follow in his footsteps.

The name is a play on the philosophy he urges every snapper to take ? focus on the next one, nothing more.

"Every rep, you're trying to be one-for-one," Jennings said. "I can do anything once. Now, I don't know if I have 10,000 snaps left in my career, or 1,000 or 500 or 50. But I don't know if I could do 100 in a row. That seems like a lot. That seems daunting. But the next one? I can nail the next one."

For Jennings, the most important part of snapping is the grip. He uses what he calls the "Nerf Turbo" ? essentially, the same style he used to make one of those foam footballs do a spiral. It allows him to get impressive speed on his snaps, giving the punter or kicker an extra split-second to beat the rush.

Cox doesn't snap the ball nearly as hard as Jennings. The Ravens specialist focuses on consistency and accuracy, taking a meticulous approach to make sure he hikes the ball the same way every time.

On field goals and extra points, he always puts his heels on the same part of the hash mark. Then, he attempts to rotate the ball the same number of times so the holder ? punter Sam Koch ? can place it down in one motion with the laces facing away. If Koch has to spin the ball before placing it on the turf, it can throw off the timing just a bit.

As for those who don't look at snappers as real players, consider this: In Cox rookie's season, he tore up a knee but still finished the game, snapping the ball six more times in excruciating pain.

"As funny as it sounds, that was a really great experience for me," Cox said. "To come out of it having all the support from my teammates, to hear them say, 'Wow, that was awesome what you did.'"

Yep, these guys are real players.

And real important, too.

___

Follow Paul Newberry on Twitter at www.twitter.com/pnewberry1963

___

Online: http://pro32.ap.org/poll and http://twitter.com/AP_NFL

Source: http://news.yahoo.com/long-snappers-looking-football-upside-down-004029127--nfl.html

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